|2019 Rugby World Cup|
|Hosts: Japan Dates: 20 September to 2 November|
|Protection: Full commentary on each sport throughout BBC Radio 5 Dwell and Radio 5 Dwell Sports activities Further, plus textual content updates on the BBC Sport web site and app.|
England and Scotland’s closing World Cup pool matches this weekend are underneath menace from violent Hurricane Hagibis.
Hagibis is transferring in direction of Japan and anticipated to make landfall on Saturday.
Each England’s sport towards France in Yokohama on Saturday (09:15 BST) and Scotland’s very important match with hosts Japan on the identical venue on Sunday (11:45 BST) may very well be affected.
BBC climate presenter and meteorologist Simon King stated it’s “one of the most powerful tropical cyclones this year”.
World Rugby has referred to as a information convention on Thursday at 04:00 BST to debate what motion will likely be taken.
If the Scotland-Japan match was to be cancelled, underneath event guidelines Gregor Townsend’s facet can be knocked out of the World Cup.
What’s the forecast?
A Met Workplace spokesperson stated on Wednesday that Hurricane Hagibis was within the western North Pacific and on monitor to hit Japan this weekend.
It was situated round 900 miles south of Tokyo with estimated wind speeds of round 120mph and gusts of 170mph.
The Met Workplace says robust and extreme winds, very heavy rain and huge waves imply a danger of flash flooding within the Tokyo area.
Yokohama is roughly 17 miles south of Tokyo.
King defined: “It’s equal to a class 5 hurricane, making it probably the most highly effective tropical cyclones world wide this yr.
“The storm will begin to weaken because it continues its monitor northward. Nevertheless, forecasts from the Joint Hurricane Warning centre and the Japanese Meteorological Service recommend it should make landfall in southern Honshu, across the Tokyo space on Saturday lunchtime UK time.
“By this level, it’s going to nonetheless be categorised as a ‘very robust storm’ with wind gusts in extra of 100mph and convey between 200-500mm of rain.
“This will likely be vital in a built-up space comparable to Tokyo with injury and flooding anticipated.”
Might it change earlier than the weekend?
“Sure, it may,” added King.
“Forecasting the trail of a storm is a tough one and whereas there may be rising confidence of a landfall close to to Tokyo, it nonetheless may shift path barely, even as much as 24 hours earlier than time.
“Nevertheless, Hurricane Hagibis is large, masking a diameter of round 500 miles.
“On landfall, probably the most highly effective winds are anticipated to increase out 60 miles from its centre. Due to this fact, even when the situation of direct landfall modifications, the winds, flooding rain and impacts will nonetheless be felt over a big space.”
What are the choices?
Organisers may transfer video games away from the world the place Hurricane Hagibis is predicted to make landfall. It had been recommended that England’s assembly with France, attributable to be performed in Yokohama, may very well be shifted 600 miles away to Oita.
Nevertheless, Oita is a much smaller venue, with area for 40,00zero spectators in comparison with Yokohama’s capability of 72,327, and that choice is taken into account unlikely. As a substitute the matches may very well be performed behind closed doorways to restrict the chance to spectators.
It has additionally been recommended Scotland’s match with Japan may delayed by 24 hours however, in accordance to the event guidelines, it’s not potential to postpone pool-stage matches to a different day.
If each matches are cancelled, this may lead to them declared a draw, with two factors awarded to every workforce.
What does it imply for the World Cup?
England and France are vying for high spot in Pool C having each already certified for the quarter-finals, however ought to their match be cancelled it will imply England will progress as winners.
Eddie Jones’ facet would then face a possible quarter-final towards Australia, who knocked them out on the pool stage of the final World Cup en path to the ultimate, with Wales anticipated to high their group and subsequently play France.
The implications can be far worse for Scotland if their sport towards Japan is known as off.
Townsend’s workforce have to win to undergo and might also should depend on bonus factors however – if Eire beat Samoa in Fukuoka on Saturday – a weather-enforced two-point haul would imply they end third in Pool A and exit.
When will we discover out?
World Rugby has introduced a media convention to debate the impacts of Hurricane Hagibis on the event for 04:00 BST on Thursday.
Alan Gilpin, World Rugby event director, and Akira Shimazu, chief government of Japan Rugby 2019, will likely be there.